Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.094455 1.305994 1.528050 1.776914 2.046527 2.328415 2.644066
2025-01-12 0.761738 1.049155 1.372479 1.755903 2.191712 2.666041 3.216013
2025-01-19 0.641096 0.974207 1.366201 1.847057 2.408479 3.032646 3.769194
2025-01-26 0.556198 0.925985 1.378990 1.950706 2.632752 3.403614 4.325403
2025-02-02 0.498429 0.899521 1.408008 2.064688 2.861379 3.773144 4.874211
2025-02-09 0.459076 0.890245 1.453278 2.194369 3.105688 4.158929 5.440562
2025-02-16 0.405795 0.853614 1.457675 2.268850 3.280234 4.460712 5.908038
2025-02-23 0.342759 0.793896 1.425395 2.292140 3.388760 4.681907 6.279654
2025-03-02 0.258752 0.688986 1.322806 2.217878 3.371447 4.749033 6.467103
2025-03-09 0.185949 0.587613 1.215264 2.129236 3.329893 4.782089 6.610066
2025-03-16 0.137339 0.517167 1.145032 2.084615 3.339291 4.873066 6.818501
2025-03-23 0.111079 0.483494 1.126513 2.108139 3.434237 5.067358 7.149660
2025-03-30 0.082992 0.440915 1.094440 2.116481 3.516152 5.254710 7.484762
2025-04-06 0.054236 0.385438 1.036541 2.085447 3.545381 5.376971 7.742577
2025-04-13 0.047924 0.386424 1.071757 2.188200 3.751404 5.719638 8.268000
2025-04-20 0.043457 0.391492 1.113696 2.300917 3.971169 6.080236 8.816283
2025-04-27 0.040778 0.401366 1.163871 2.425880 4.207637 6.462273 9.391367
2025-05-04 0.039988 0.417308 1.224907 2.567287 4.466718 6.873438 10.002908
2025-05-11 0.033553 0.411274 1.245865 2.648452 4.644295 7.181654 10.488450
2025-05-18 0.023630 0.386358 1.230521 2.673790 4.745383 7.392492 10.854119
2025-05-25 0.010108 0.328353 1.147800 2.592933 4.698914 7.413716 10.984649
2025-06-01 0.002217 0.271154 1.058318 2.496279 4.626810 7.399199 11.068439
2025-06-08 0.000093 0.233279 1.001850 2.447570 4.618187 7.463672 11.247735